Ukraine invasion breaks supply chains for key commodities, Moody’s panel says

A Ukrainian father and his son at the Lviv-Holovnyi railway station in Lviv, Ukraine, March 14.
Photographer: Kobi Wolf/Bloomberg News

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has not only sent oil prices soaring, it is disrupting the supply chains for a wide range of commodities.

In a recent webinar, a panel of economists from Moody’s Analytics focused on the global economic effects of the war, specifically on certain commodities that are produced predominantly in Russia and Ukraine.

The two countries provide much of the world’s wheat, corn and soy; as well as nickel, used in making batteries; and neon, a gas used to make computer chips.

“Neon is used for lasers, which are critical in the chip manufacturing process,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist and managing director of Moody’s Analytics.

When asked whether the surge in oil prices might hasten the move toward alternative energy sources, Gaurav Ganguly, senior director and head of EMEA economics, said countries may not be that nimble.

“In the short term, there’s very much a scramble for energy security,” he said. “We are locked into certain technologies and it’s not so easy to get out of them.”

Scroll down to see what Mark Zandi had to say about these commodities.

p16oqq50591636b6v12c5bojrdjf.jpg
adobe.stock.com

WHEAT

The wheat market is “very unsettled,” said Zandi. “Russia and Ukraine together account for a quarter of global wheat exports.” Wheat prices hit a record high on March 8 as the war has halted exports from the two countries, an area that makes up what is known as Europe’s breadbasket.
cornfield-357.jpg
adobe.stock.com

CORN

Russia and Ukraine account for 15% of global corn exports, said Zandi. The war has further damaged supply chains that were already “scrambled by the pandemic,” he said.
soybeans
pixabay.com

SOY

“The war is roiling agricultural markets,” Zandi said. “Wheat, corn and soy.” Many products labeled “vegetable oil” are made from soybeans.
electric vehicle battery
pixabay.com

NICKEL

Zandi said Russia is responsible for 5% of global nickel exports, but 30% of the high-grade nickel, which is important for the production of electric vehicle batteries.
semiconductor-snippet.jpg
adobe.stock.com

NEON

In the U.S., almost all the high-quality neon needed to make computer chips comes from Russia and Ukraine, Zandi said. “Neon is a byproduct of steel production, but it has to be processed to make it work for lasers, so Russian steel plants capture the neon and ship it to Ukraine where it is refined and shipped all over the world, including to the U.S.,” he said.
MORE FROM FINANCIAL PLANNING